The South had a chance at winning the Civil War even if all the odds weren't in their favor. They were in the same place as the colonists in the Revolutionary War.
When we look back at the Revolutionary War, we see that motivation played a huge part. Only a soldier's ambition can make him or her want to break through obstacles and challenges blocking a path. Many Union soldiers didn't know what they were fighting for. Since states' rights and slavery played a huge part in the Confederate government, the soldiers were determined to protect that part of their Constitution with all their life. The lack of motivation in the Union army may have caused soldiers to stop fighting after the first three months Lincoln had asked for passed.
The South had the home-field advantage since many battles were fought in Confederate territory. They now have more knowledge about the terrain and geographical barriers whereas the Union doesn't know the land. This is an ideal place where the South can use the tactic of Guerilla warfare just like in the Revolutionary War to take out their enemies quickly and efficiently.
Lastly, the South had experienced soldiers. Unlike the Union, the South's soldiers knew how to shoot a gun and handle arms since they went hunting from time to time. Even if more people are in an army, you don't get any leverage unless those people are good at being soldiers. This put the South in a good spot since they didn't have to train their soldiers much.
So in conclusion, it is valid for someone to say the South had a chance at winning the Civil War.
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