If the Confederacy had won the Battle of Gettysburg, the war would have ended a lot sooner. Gettysburg was a major turning point in the Civil war, so if the Union lost, the Confederacy would gain much more faith in their belief that they could stand on their own. And the Union would begin to think if it's worth it to lose all these men after losing so many battles and just let them be independent.
Even if the Confederacy had won the Gettysburg battle, Britain and France would not have supported them. Why would they support a cause that they banned? It would make sense for them to support the Union of banning slavery. And I'm sure Britain and France would only support them if they thought it was profitable. Since they don't need cotton from the South anymore, since they found somewhere else that is cheaper, there's really no other reason to support them.
At this point, Lincoln would have made peace with the South. He loves the United States so much that he's willing to accept slavery if it means that the South would join the Union again.
But Lincoln already issued the Emancipation Proclamation. That should be some proof that now, he isn't willing to take back the South, unless they give up slavery
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