If the Confederacy won the war, they would've had a better chance at winning the Civil War. The Battle of Gettysberg was a turning point of the war, so it really mattered who won this battle. So it would be the Union struggling to stay alive instead of the Confederates if they Confederacy won. The South also would've gotten more motivation to keep fighting since they won such a major and significant battle in the war.
Britain or France most likely wouldn't support the South even if they won the battle because those countries abolished slavery, so they wouldn't want to get involved in a war that is about the topic of slavery. It wouldn't make sense if Britain and France supported the South, which was proslavery, when they're against slavery. Those countries wouldn't want to be known as hypocrites.
Lincoln would have looked to make peace with the South because his first priority is to preserve the union of the country. He is willing to allow slavery if it means that the country can become united again. He wouldn't let the country remain split just because he thinks that slavery is an injustice. He would put that aside for the sake of the country.
I think that the battle of Gettysburg was a turning point only because the Union won the war. And most likely the only thing that would motivate the South was if they completely annihilated the North because the South already was winning most of the time. As for Lincoln, he may think that preserving the Union is more important, but he already made the war about slavery and he can't take it back for the Union's and probably his own pride.
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